The impossible trinity of developing countries – the Greek example

dc.citation.epage297
dc.citation.spage271
dc.citation.volume41
dc.contributor.authorĐogo, Marko
dc.contributor.authorGligorić, Dragan
dc.contributor.authorGrujić, Miloš
dc.contributor.authorMekinjić, Boško
dc.date.accessioned2024-11-26T12:02:58Z
dc.date.available2024-11-26T12:02:58Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractThe mobility of factors of production from the very beginnings of the theory of the optimal currency area (OCA) stands out as one of the primary mechanisms for achieving a balance of payments, i.e. sustainability of the monetary union (Mundell criterion). However, there is a significant qualitative difference between the monetary union of countries with similar income levels and the one with different development stages Namely, in the first case, labor mobility, as a rule, has short-term economic effects, while it has a longer-term (more negative) impact – especially on the long-run aggregate supply (LRAS). Many Eastern European countries, which expressed a desire to become part of European integration and the monetary union after the communist ruin, experienced this. In a previous paper, the authors set the thesis about “Impossible Trinity of Developing Countries”. In this paper, the aspiration is to confirm the validity of this theory by analyzing Greece within the period 1999-2020, specifically observing the impact of three variables (fiscal policy, social development level, and level of economic freedom) on the emigration of the population under conditions of monetary union and labor force mobility. The results obtained in this research indicate that the fiscal policy in the observed period was the most significant factor in explaining migration trends. The implications for developing countries that are currently entering (such as Croatia) or intend to enter the monetary union with more developed countries in the future are particularly significant.
dc.identifier.doi10.18045/zbefri.2023.1.271
dc.identifier.urihttps://vaseljena.ues.rs.ba/handle/123456789/1345
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherUniversity of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business
dc.sourceZbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci
dc.subjectimpossible trinity, optimal currency area, migration, developing countries
dc.titleThe impossible trinity of developing countries – the Greek example
dc.typeArticle
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